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March 16, 2021
Nassim Taleb, famous for writing “The Black Swan,” and equally for his mathematical work in trading, was once a Bitcoiner. Recently, he has sold his bitcoin, explaining that it is not today what it should be as far as a stable, usable asset. I agree with him.
October 15, 2020
Ethereum was cutting edge when the network went live on July 30, 2015. It reminds me of the Palm Pilot Treo. For those who don’t remember, or are too young to know, for the first time ever, you were able to plug in a device to your computer to download emails, go away to answer those emails, and when you came back to plug your Palm Pilot back…
October 1, 2020
The current recessionary environment is precipitated by two events. The first is easy monetary policy creating zombie companies and unsustainable corporate debt. The second is a lockdown resulting from a reaction to a new and novel virus termed “COVID-19”, a scarier sounding word than the original “Corona Virus” previously used. In order to save the US markets from an economic death...
June 25, 2020
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June 11, 2020
Charles Mackay, a 19th-century Scottish poet, journalist, and author, wrote about three of the most famous financial bubbles in history: the Mississippi Scheme, the South-Sea Bubble, and Tulipomania in his pinnacle book, Extraordinary Popular Delusions and the Madness of Crowds. The story of Ethereum may become...
June 3, 2020
During the COVID-19 lockdown, spending was thwarted by store closures and a lack of avenues to consume. Places where people could consume, usually had long lines, further discouraging those who ventured out; if the fear of becoming deathly ill did not discourage you from…
May 14, 2020
After the Great Recession of 2008, negative interest rates emerged in The Euro Area, Switzerland, Sweden, Denmark, and Japan. Given our uncertain economic climate and a renewed push by President Donald Trump, we foresee negative interest rates coming to the US.
May 9, 2020
Bitcoin has rallied to over $10,000 from around $6,000 just a month ago, adding more than $1.4 billion in value. As of the release of this piece, Bitcoin is $8586. Bloomberg, CNBC, along with top technical analysts are covering the price action and attributing the surge to the upcoming halving and excitedly pulling up countdown clocks on their shows. The media is rampant with bull-run hype and moon shooting price targets.
May 1, 2020
There is hope and an expectation that lives will return to normal after the quarantines loosen and “non-essential” businesses are allowed to open in the US and globally. Market participants believe that a $2 trillion dollar aid package is enough to float small and large businesses, as well as the 20%+ who are now unemployed — not to mention freelancers who do not qualify for unemployment and many who are underemployed.